Alex Ovechkin almost certainly breaks Wayne GRETZKY’s best gaul scoring record. Obetikin started with 853 goals (41 shy 894) this season, missed time in December, and made a wonderful start before returning home. However, it is not actually a matter of whether Obertikin has become a king to win. Except for serious injuries, Obertikin will set a record this season or at the beginning of the season.
We are trying to track Ovechkin’s tracking and decide the game that is most likely to break the record. Below are the details of the place where he is standing, his latest goal, his odds that breaks the record of this season, and his odds.
Ovechkin’s last goal: No. 877 against Jets on February 1st.
Obetikin scored less than 8 minutes in the third term, tied a game for the capital, and sent it to overtime.
Ovechkin needed 42 goals this season to exceed Gretzky with the highest record of 895 goals.
The next histogram shows that the goal of Obertikin will be finished by the end of the season, based on the remaining 1,000 simulation of the season. Ovechkin’s expected scoring pace (36.8 goals per 82), where do he play?
Based on these factors, Ovechkin is now a 15 % possibility that the 2024-25 season is now the highest scoring leader in NHL. Ovechkin’s current finish is 35 goals, leaving 888 career goals.
Ovechkin started the season with 22 % of the possibility of breaking the GRETZKY goal record this season. After a slimy start, Ovechkin’s odds shot immediately thanks to the hot stretch, which scored 13 goals in 11 games. With 15 goals in 18 games, Ovechkin’s odds peaked on November 18 at 65 %.
These odds slowed down slowly every time they missed Obetikin due to knee injury. Ovechkin’s odds were even more sagging because they missed 16 games to 15 % and could not maintain the necessary pace.
This season, the possibility that Obechikin breaks the Gletzky goal record is that Obetikin does it at the same season as Gretsky. This is the 20th season of Ovechkin on NHL. It’s the same amount that GREETZKY reached 894. Not only the total of the goals, but also the speed reached these heights, there are two standalones.
The most likely game of breaking this season’s game is the last game of the season, as Ovechkin is likely to be the best goal scorer in NHL this season.
Ovechkin is 3.1 % of the 895th goal, an away game with Pittsburg Penguin on April 17. His odds will increase as they approach the end of the season, based on the 1,000 simulation coming to Sannoseshakes on March 15.
There is a chance for anything in the meantime.
Methodology
The probability of Ovechkin breaking the goal record is based on the remaining Monte -Cal Rosimulation of the season.
The simulator estimates the possibility of Obetikin in a specific game based on his predicted output, opponent’s defense, and the game is on the road. Ovechkin’s predictive output is based on his past three seasons, is more up to the latest and regrets the average player who plays the same amount.
After that, use the projection output adjusted to the opponent and the venue to calculate the odds of the obutikin that scores the goals (or more) using the poreson distribution.
Ryan Best and John Bradford have contributed to the article.
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(Illustration: Dan Goldfarb / The Athletic; John McCreary / NHLI / Getty Images)
